The R&D labs team
Where is the industry is headed? What should GitHub do next?

The R&D labs team
Where is the industry is headed? What should GitHub do next?
Other than fix uptime.
No, I don’t work on infra.
Plz don’t ask me.

State, data flow, databases, auth, APIs, algorithms, AI models, servers, latency, etc.
For fun and profit
Hard to understand today’s reality, let alone figure out how to react.
Why even attempt to predict the future? (clearly a fool’s errand)
We can’t just give up or opt out because things are moving too fast. We need to think like fortune tellers and attempt to crystal ball.
Design engineers are the perfect people to figure out the shape of the future.
Uniquely positioned to prototype theories of the future in convincing ways.
Agents can “draw the rest of the owl” enough for you to make proof-of-concepts without full-stack skills (although they help).
What do I know about this?
I’ve been right and early on a few future predictions

Labs work looks glamorous from the outside, and some of it is.
Without having to worry about shipping to production
obviously
is actually hard
Ways to think harder, spot trends early, and properly explore what they mean



Early signs of change that are plausible, novel, significant and timely.
Collect them, pay attention to them, and look for themes across them.
Toys and prototypes, hot takes, product announcements, arXiv papers, newsletters, podcasts, VC cash flow, startups, economic trends, your own experiments and experience
Finally get rewarded for being chronically online
(Sorry, but for AI research work, yes you do need to be on X and Hacker News)

Toys and prototypes, hot takes, product announcements, arXiv papers, newsletters, podcasts, VC cash flow, startups, economic trends, your own experiments and experience
Finally get rewarded for being chronically online
(Sorry, but for AI research work, yes you do need to be on X and Hacker News)


Toys and prototypes, hot takes, product announcements, arXiv papers, newsletters, podcasts, VC cash flow, startups, economic trends, your own experiments and experience
Finally get rewarded for being chronically online
(Sorry, but for AI research work, yes you do need to be on X and Hacker News)




Toys and prototypes, hot takes, product announcements, arXiv papers, newsletters, podcasts, VC cash flow, startups, economic trends, your own experiments and experience
Finally get rewarded for being chronically online
(Sorry, but for AI research work, yes you do need to be on X and Hacker News)
















Take the observation and ask what happens next and next and next
Take the observation and ask what happens next and next and next



OpenClaw, Muse, etc.



OpenClaw, Muse, etc.



Doing (cheesy) structured exercises to think deeply about your theories of the future and understand your assumptions.


Make provocative artefacts that make your potential future feel tangible and real
Also called “diegetic prototypes”
Make provocative artefacts that make your potential future feel tangible and real
Cricket Crunch by Julian Bleeker of the Near Future Lab, 2020




Playful, provocative, interesting, and specific, over “realistic”
Can be images, objects, adverts, specific interface patterns: changelogs, code review, software updates, errors, warnings.
Failure states often reveal more than happy paths




Moderate, near-future, “realistic” artefacts
Crazy, far-future, speculative, “impractical” artefacts
Use writing and conference talks to build theories. Write to clarify.
Tell people your theories. If it comes true, you get cred. If it doens’t no one remembers.
Back it up with data. The pressure of telling people and public debate will make you research it properly.
Design engineers / very senior front-end perfectionist with good design taste. Please come talk to me or message us after:

@idangazit
@mappletons

maggieappleton.com
githubnext.com